13 Sept · 22:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1536
FormLLLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Bochnak
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1794
FormWLWWW
30%
70%
🌟Bochnak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (112)
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+258
H2H66-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+258)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-48)