13 Sept · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1524
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dohnal
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1439
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (148)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H41-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-23)