13 Sept · 17:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1392
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Beran
MB
🇨🇿Matej Beran
ELO 1541
FormWWWWW
38%
62%
🌟Beran rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (42)
Fair odds · Beran
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+149
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)