13 Sept · 22:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1486
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hons
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1504
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Vidourek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (41)
Fair odds · Hons
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 43% · 2.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H7-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.