13 Sept · 21:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1503
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vosyka
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1486
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vidourek🌟Vidourek covers set handicap as underdog 66% (41)
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H17-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.