13 Sept · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1504
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1562
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H57-60
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)