13 Sept · 19:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1429
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1624
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
🌟Vodal covers set handicap as underdog 65% (93)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+195
H2H20-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+195)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-6)