14 Sept · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1499
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1579
FormWWWLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.05· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H59-60
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)