14 Sept · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1594
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krupnik
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1514
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H39-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)