14 Sept · 13:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jakub Joksch
ELO 1603
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Joksch
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1575
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Joksch
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H4-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.