14 Sept · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1514
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1612
FormLWWLL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (144)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H56-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-36)