14 Sept · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1571
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1642
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H31-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-23)