14 Sept · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1440
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1513
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (104)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)