14 Sept · 09:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1513
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sindler
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1500
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strelec🌟Strelec covers set handicap as underdog 71% (41)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H18-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.