14 Sept · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1515
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1621
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)