14 Sept · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1598
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Travnicek
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1501
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heuman🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 72% (65)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H18-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-15)