14 Sept · 15:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1500
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Drozd
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1390
FormLLLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)