14 Sept · 20:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1562
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cibik
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1528
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vich🌟Vich covers set handicap as underdog 65% (94)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H42-45
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.