14 Sept · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1486
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Krcil
MC
🇨🇿Miroslav Cyrus
ELO 1381
FormWWWWL
59%
41%
🌟Cyrus goes over total as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)