14 Sept · 22:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DB
🇨🇿David Bochnak
ELO 1781
FormWWLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Bochnak
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1566
FormWLWWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Bochnak
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+215
H2H66-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+215)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-49)