14 Sept · 17:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1500
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Drozd
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1474
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🌟Skvor covers set handicap as underdog 69% (39)
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.