14 Sept · 20:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1358
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Vyskocil
ZV
🇨🇿Zbynek Vyskocil
ELO 1540
FormWLLWL
35%
65%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matousch🌟Vyskocil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (82)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+182
H2H0-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+182)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)