14 Sept · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1658
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sikora
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1605
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (73)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.