14 Sept · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1569
FormLLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1662
FormWLWWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H105-93
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (105-93)