14 Sept · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1500
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Drozd
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1421
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)