14 Sept · 21:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1486
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krcil
MR
🇨🇿Matyas Rojka
ELO 1411
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)