14 Sept · 20:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1598
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Travnicek
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1570
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanak🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 74% (35)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.