14 Sept · 21:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1430
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kus
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1431
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kus🌟Kus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (44)
Fair odds · Kus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H22-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.