14 Sept · 21:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1528
FormWWWLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Vich
SM
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1358
FormLLLLL
64%
36%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matousch🌟Vich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (74)
Fair odds · Vich
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+170
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)