14 Sept · 20:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Miroslav Cyrus
ELO 1381
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rojka
MR
🇨🇿Matyas Rojka
ELO 1411
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🌟Cyrus goes over total as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Rojka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.