14 Sept · 17:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1506
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vicherek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1605
FormWLWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zaskodny
Fair odds · Vicherek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~71 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H18-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-10)