14 Sept · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1569
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hyza
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1625
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H62-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-22)