14 Sept · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1390
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1474
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)