14 Sept · 16:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Martin Kucera
ELO 1579
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kucera
T2
🇨🇿Tomas Beran 2000
ELO 1557
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · 2000🌟Kucera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (13)
Fair odds · Kucera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.