15 Sept · 12:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1390
FormWLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1581
FormWLWWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+191
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+191)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)