15 Sept · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1500
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Neterda
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1534
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Pokorny stays under total as underdog 65% (37)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H16-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.