15 Sept · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TG
🇨🇿Tomas Grmela
ELO 1488
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1549
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (99)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)