15 Sept · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1621
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1684
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Rek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (55)
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H32-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-20)