15 Sept · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1493
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1582
FormLLWLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kantor🌟Kantor covers set handicap as underdog 62% (80)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)