15 Sept · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1390
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kral
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1506
FormLWLWW
41%
59%
🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 73% (73)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)