15 Sept · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1621
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1672
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
🌟Rek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (55)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.