15 Sept · 14:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1482
FormWWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1653
FormWLWWW
36%
64%
🌟Filipek goes over total as underdog 64% (150)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+171
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)