15 Sept · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1604
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Brozek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1684
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H9-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)