15 Sept · 21:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1529
FormWWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Heuman
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1529
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Heuman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (55)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.