15 Sept · 15:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1487
FormWWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lorenc
RB
🇨🇿Radomir Benesz
ELO 1364
FormLLLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Lorenc
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+123
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)