15 Sept · 22:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1509
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vavricka
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vidourek
ELO 1479
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Vidourek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (46)
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.