15 Sept · 20:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jakub Mach
ELO 1526
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mach
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1458
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Mach goes over total as favourite 65% (57)
Fair odds · Mach
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H18-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-12)