15 Sept · 20:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1603
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1604
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sarganek🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (75)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H33-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.