15 Sept · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1321
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Dlask
MD
🇨🇿Marek Dlask
ELO 1458
FormWLWWL
39%
61%
🌟Dlask rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (40)
Fair odds · Dlask
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H25-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-19)