15 Sept · 17:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Soucek
ELO 1514
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Flicek
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1562
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Soucek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (12)
Fair odds · Flicek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H16-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.